DRAMeXchange> Weekly Research> DRAMeXchange: DRAM Contract Prices in May to Raise 10%-15% MoM

【Market View】DRAMeXchange: DRAM Contract Prices in May to Raise 10%-15% MoM

Published May.05 2009,15:48 PM (GMT+8)

Sources indicated that the biggest DRAM suppliers to the spot market, Powerchip and Elpida, have stopped shipping chips to the spot market, resulting in tighter supply. Therefore, DDR2 1Gb spot prices have stayed strong at US$1.2. Meanwhile, marketers expect to see the prices move toward US$1.5 by end of June, DRAMeXchange noted.

According to DRAMeXchange’s survey, DRAM contract price, the “low” in May is expected to move to the range of US$9-US$10 per GB from the US$8 to US$8.5 per GB in April, up roughly 15% MoM. Some DRAM makers are even aggressively setting the target up to US$12 /GB or US$13 /GB for May. The tier-one PC OEMs expect to see a mild growth, while the tier-two or tier-three PC OEMs may be forced to accept US$11-US$12 /GB price in May, DRAM makers indicated.
DRAMeXchange noted that the PC shipment growth in February, March and April reached 3.1%, 16.8% and -5.3%, respectively. The better than expected PC shipment helped consume PC OEMs' DRAM inventory. As DRAM makers sharply cut back on production and control their respective inventory in hoping to push DRAM prices higher, DRAMeXchange believes the DRAM upward trend can continue through 3Q09 and the low price of the 1GB chip can climb to US$12. If DRAM makers continue to maintain production cuts and inventory controls, we may see the DDR2 1Gb going up to US$1.5 soon.