Demands are not back yet.
Demands
are not coming back yet.
Although Western
New Year Holiday seems over, demands are not coming back yet - no matter
in replenishing or pull-in effect before Lunar New Year Holiday (Eastern
New Year holiday) at this week. Markets still run at low level base run-rate
on the spot market at early of this week, at the end of this week we expect
to increase a litte bit on the spot market at higher volume in transaction
turnover.
Asian
Market:
Asia Markets
are most active markets right these days. Demands from mainland China
are still running ok, but the plenty supply in China from Hynix in SDRAM
are sufficient for domestic market already, therefore there are not much
purchasing activities from outside of domestic market. Besides, China
market is also a very competitive market almost major players have the
distributors and channels there already.Hynix was used to be the No. 1
brand name value in China market. Since the fake Hynix issues and recently
ample supply in China comparing with Samsung's tight supply there, Hynix's
brand value seems drop down together with prices in China market. DDR
volumes are also moving stabilized there. Rests of Asian markets are most
moving into the trading demand not real end-demand.
US
market:
With the events
moving closer to a possible war with Iraq, end demand seems weak again
and caution inventory build in the channels from US market. The first
business week after holiday, US market is caution in checking the channel
inventory situation and the holiday consuming status right now. The replenishing
demands are not coming back sharply, but regarding SDRAM prices, they
are catching up with Asian market prices status right away.
European
Market:
Generally, European
are more leisurely and carefree, therefore they are just slowly coming
back from holiday and getting to work. Marketers don't expect huge demand
from European market right away.
Spot
prices status:
Overall, Asian
markets are watching closely the US market's direction since marketers
all know the real end demand are not strong as Q1 is normally a slow quarter.
The speculation and market sentiment/moment are major factors in this
period of time. Channel traders and distributors are still expecting that
SDRAM prices won't fall down on the spot market and DDR prices will not
hold on too long.
DDR
contract prices fall; SDRAM contract prices rise.
DDR-
256MB DDR
module contract prices are setting from $51~$54 down from $56~$60
last month.
256Mb
DDR chip prices are quoted at $6~$6.5 down from $6.5~$7.
128MB
DDR module contract prices are setting $25~$28 down from $30~$34 last
month.
128Mb
DDR chip are quoted around $2.85~$3.35 down from $3~$3.5.
SDRAM-
256MB SDRAM
module contract prices are setting from $30~36 up from $30~$34 last
month.
256Mb
SDRAM chip prices are quoted at $3.25~$4.25 up from $2.85~$4.25.
128MB
DDR module contract prices are setting $17~$22 up from $15~$18 last
month.
128Mb
DDR chip are quoted around $2.50~$3.00 up from $1.75~$2.40.