Still blooming market for DDR
$4
and $8 for 128Mb and 256Mb
First checking
point of this week is the $4 and $8 for 128Mb and 256Mb DDR respectively.
If the $4 and $8 can stand as the floor of the spot price, then next rising
wave will begin. SDRAM rising rate remains weak than DDR due to the new orders
demanding DDR Spec..
Channels
haven't get enough
The most active
groups of spot participators are brokers and traders who haven't got enough
DDR products for trading profit yet. Demands from refilling inventory at brokers
and traders are strong enough to support the price. Plus the end-demand from
PC OEM and Motherboard sides also show above 20% MoM growth rate for the first
order of traditional hot season. Base on that, the uptrend couldn't be just
current level.
Risk
still remains
Risk still remains
to require frequently checking the satisfied margin from brokers and traders
combining with the second or further orders from PC, motherboard growth. If
there is no sign for keeping market bloom, then price will dramatically crash.
Keeping the efficient turnover rate of inventory is the key of getting profit
on trading.
Whole
marketers have been involved in.
Now it seems
all the players are participating in this game. DRAM makers keep tight in
allocating the DDR product to OEM customers sometimes with the package selling
(Buyers have to accept DDR+SDRAM package sales kit). Channel players are hardly
find enough DDR from spot market to satisfy their demand. Module makers enjoy
both in trading chip and selling module.
Contract
Price is sure for over 10% rising.
Contract price
has been confirmed to rise above 10%, but final price is still negotiating
table. OEM customers probably won't be easy to accept too high of contract
price without clear visibility of coming end-demand, on the other hand they
have to recognize that currently tightening on DDR Supply situation.