Lukewarm spot market but rally contract market
:: Cautious market sentiment
waited for the spur from contract price
The spot market for the third week of August takes
a short dip but remains quiet in general. Before the release of contract price
for 2H August, the marketers were cautious of inventory adjustment. Currently,
the purchase , or say demand, from speculators in the spot market is disappearing
and DRAM market won't show a positive signal unless the end demand reemerges.
According to our close trace on MB shipment, the demand on clone market is gradually
appearing. With the stimulous from end-demand, we believe DRAM prices can enjoy
a slow uptrend in the short-run.
:: Continuous surge in contract
price
In line with market expectations, the contract price
for 2H August surged again. However, the uptick momentum for 2H August is not
as significant as that for 1H August but stands at a mere 3%-5%. The explicit
trend is that SODIMM will remain at the current level of price premium with
DIMM, indicating a robust demand on notebook. As for the price of DDR 400MHz,
it doesn't demonstrate a vigorous uptrend, signifing a weak market acceptance
for new specs. After all, in the wave of low cost computers, only decent incentives
can stimulate consumers' desire to spend more.