Slow slip to bottom?
End
of Month, Sell out the inventory.
As time approaching
the month/quarter end, market do gradually absorb the excess inventory from
DRAM makers. Module makers get into the market to negotiate price with DRAM
makers. Indicating price is near the bottom though there is still room.
What
is the floor of Price?
Most marketers
still believe that $1.5 is the floor of 128Mb. The negotiating price between
DRAM makers try to sell to Module makers by high volume is approaching that
level. Assume the spot price will intend to come closely to that level as
well.
June
is probably the lowest point of Contract.
June's contract
probably will reach $3 for some brand. After June, everyone is expecting the
slow slope of the price rising up. The resuming orders from OEM are expected
to get back from end of June or early July for preparing the traditional hot
third quarter.